Data Science Statistics

Time Series Analysis: Forecasting Patterns, Trends, and Signals

A practical, applied course with Professor Mark Davis on turning sequential data into reliable insight and forecasts

Time Series Analysis: Forecasting Patterns, Trends, and Signals logo
Quick Course Facts
17
Self-paced, Online, Lessons
17
Videos and/or Narrated Presentations
5.5
Approximate Hours of Course Media
About the Time Series Analysis: Forecasting Patterns, Trends, and Signals Course

This Time Series Analysis course teaches you how to turn sequential data into reliable insight and forecasts using practical Data Science methods. You will learn how to prepare, visualize, model, and evaluate time-based data so you can make stronger decisions in business, finance, operations, and beyond.

Master Time Series Analysis For Smarter Forecasting

  • Build a solid foundation in Time Series Analysis, from time indexing and resampling to identifying trends, seasonality, and noise.
  • Learn a practical, applied course with Professor Mark Davis on turning sequential data into reliable insight and forecasts for real-world decision-making.
  • Develop confidence with core forecasting methods, including smoothing, exponential smoothing, Holt-Winters, AR, MA, and ARIMA models.
  • Apply Data Science techniques to diagnose model fit, measure forecast accuracy, and communicate results clearly in a complete workflow.

Learn how to analyze time-based data, build forecasting models, and translate patterns into actionable predictions.

This course begins with the foundations of time series data and shows you how to work with time indexes, frequency, and resampling so your data is ready for analysis. You will then explore how to visualize underlying patterns, detect seasonality, and separate meaningful signals from noise. Along the way, you will strengthen your understanding of autocorrelation, lag relationships, and stationarity, which are essential for creating dependable models in Data Science.

As you move deeper into the course, you will learn decomposition methods for pattern discovery and compare baseline forecasting approaches with more advanced models. You will practice smoothing methods, exponential smoothing, and Holt-Winters forecasting before building intuition for classical Time Series Analysis techniques such as AR, MA, and ARIMA. The course also guides you through model identification, parameter selection, residual diagnostics, and forecast accuracy metrics, helping you choose and validate models with greater confidence.

You will also work through practical challenges such as missing values, outliers, multivariate time series, and explanatory variables, all of which appear in real Data Science projects. The final sections connect these skills to business, finance, and operations use cases, and the capstone integration shows you how to communicate findings and build a complete time series workflow. By the end of the course, you will be able to approach sequential data with a structured method, generate stronger forecasts, and present insights that support better decisions.

Course Lessons

Full lesson breakdown

Lessons are organized by topic area and each includes descriptive copy for search visibility and student clarity.

Foundations

1 lesson

This lesson introduces time series data and why it behaves differently from ordinary tabular data. You will learn how ordered observations, timestamps, and sampling intervals shape analysis, what make…

Data Preparation

1 lesson

Lesson 2: Time Indexing, Frequency, and Resampling

18 min
This lesson shows how to make time series data ready for analysis by giving it a reliable time index, identifying the true sampling frequency, and resampling when the data are irregular or mismatched …

Exploratory Analysis

1 lesson

Lesson 3: Visualizing Trends, Seasonality, and Noise

18 min
This lesson shows how to inspect a time series before modeling it. You will learn to separate trend , seasonality , and noise using simple plots and clear visual cues. Professor Mark Davis focuses on …

Core Concepts

1 lesson

Lesson 4: Autocorrelation and Lag Relationships

20 min
Autocorrelation describes how a time series relates to its own past values. In this lesson, Professor Mark Davis shows how to read lag relationships, interpret positive and negative autocorrelation, a…

Model Readiness

1 lesson

Lesson 5: Stationarity and Why It Matters

20 min
Stationarity is one of the most important ideas in time series analysis because it tells us whether a series behaves in a stable, predictable way over time. In this lesson, Professor Mark Davis explai…

Signal Separation

1 lesson

Lesson 6: Decomposition Methods for Pattern Discovery

18 min
Decomposition is a practical way to separate a time series into the parts that drive it: trend , seasonality , cycle , and residual noise . In this lesson, Professor Mark Davis shows how decomposition…

Baseline Forecasting

1 lesson

Lesson 7: Smoothing Methods and Moving Averages

18 min
This lesson introduces smoothing methods as practical baseline forecasting tools for time series data. Professor Mark Davis explains why raw observations are often too noisy for direct interpretation,…

Forecasting Methods

1 lesson

Lesson 8: Exponential Smoothing and Holt-Winters Models

22 min
Exponential smoothing is a family of forecasting methods that turns recent observations into a practical forecast by giving more weight to newer data. In this lesson, Professor Mark Davis shows how si…

Classical Time Series Models

1 lesson

Lesson 9: AR, MA, and ARIMA Model Intuition

22 min
This lesson builds intuition for the three classical time series building blocks: autoregressive (AR) , moving average (MA) , and ARIMA . Students learn what each model is trying to explain, how to th…

Model Building

1 lesson

Lesson 10: Model Identification and Parameter Selection

20 min
This lesson shows how to turn a time series problem into a workable model choice. You will learn how to read the data’s structure, identify likely model families, and select starting parameters before…

Model Validation

1 lesson

Lesson 11: Diagnosing Residuals and Model Fit

20 min
This lesson shows how to tell whether a forecasting model is actually doing a good job or just fitting the training data by chance. You will learn how to inspect residuals, check for remaining pattern…

Evaluation

1 lesson

Lesson 12: Forecast Accuracy Metrics and Backtesting

22 min
This lesson shows how to judge whether a forecast is actually useful, not just mathematically neat. You will learn the main accuracy metrics for time series, when each metric is appropriate, and how t…

Applied Forecasting

1 lesson

Lesson 13: Seasonal Forecasting in Practice

18 min
Seasonality is one of the most common and useful patterns in time series data. In this lesson, Professor Mark Davis shows how to recognize seasonal behavior, separate it from trend and noise, and turn…

Data Quality

1 lesson

Lesson 14: Handling Missing Values and Outliers

18 min
Missing values and outliers are two of the most common data quality problems in time series work, and both can distort trends, seasonality, and forecast accuracy if ignored. In this lesson, you will l…

Advanced Analysis

1 lesson

Lesson 15: Multivariate Time Series and Explanatory Variables

22 min
This lesson explains how to build and use multivariate time series , where a target variable is modeled alongside one or more explanatory variables. You will learn when additional variables can improv…

Real-World Use Cases

1 lesson

Lesson 16: Forecasting for Business, Finance, and Operations

18 min
This lesson shows how time series forecasting is used in business, finance, and operations to support decisions under uncertainty. You will see how forecasts help teams plan demand, manage risk, sched…

Capstone Integration

1 lesson

Lesson 17: Communicating Results and Building a Time Series Workflow

20 min
This lesson closes the loop on time series work by showing how to communicate results clearly and repeat the analysis as a reliable workflow . You will learn how to present forecasts, uncertainty, and…
About Your Instructor
Professor Mark Davis

Professor Mark Davis

Professor Mark Davis guides this AI-built Virversity course with a clear, practical teaching style.